(Tomorrow at 8:30 AM on the East Coast, The Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences will announce its nominees for the 84th annual Academy Awards. The annoucements will be made by the moderately attractive Jennifer Lawrence. Sadly we did not have the opportunity to speak with Ms. Lawrence, so we asked our resident film expert Franklin Laviola to give us his predictions for the nominations. Check back tomorrow morning to see how accurate he was.)
Note: In categories where predicted nominees are not listed in alphabetical order, they are listed in order of the likelihood of their nominations.
Picture:
If five nominees …
The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
The Help
Midnight in Paris
If seven nominees …
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
If nine nominees …
The Tree of Life
Drive
If ten nominees …
Moneyball
Alternates:
War Horse
Bridesmaids
Director:
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alternates:
Nicolas Winding Refn, Drive
David Fincher, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Actor:
George Clooney, The Descendants
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
Alternates:
Gary Oldman, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Leonardo Dicaprio, J. Edgar
Actress:
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Viola Davis, The Help
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Alternates:
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Supporting Actor:
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Alternates:
Brad Pitt, The Tree of Life
Ben Kingsley, Hugo
Supporting Actress:
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Alternates:
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
Original Screenplay:
The Artist
Midnight in Paris
Bridesmaids
50/50
A Separation
Alternates:
Young Adult
Margaret
Adapted Screenplay:
The Descendants
Moneyball
Hugo
The Help
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Alternates:
The Ides of March
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Film Editing:
The Artist
Drive
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
War Horse
Alternates:
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
Cinematography:
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
The Tree of Life
Alternates:
Drive
War Horse
Art Direction:
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse
Alternates:
Jane Eyre
The Tree of Life
Costume Design:
Anonymous
The Artist
Hugo
Jane Eyre
War Horse
Alternates:
The Help
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Sound Mixing:
The Adventures of Tintin
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Super 8
War Horse
Alternates:
Drive
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
Sound Editing:
The Adventures of Tintin
Drive
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
Alternates:
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse
Makeup Design:
Anonymous
Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life
The Iron Lady
Alternates:
Albert Nobbs
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
[The 7 Finalists for Makeup]
Visual Effects:
Captain America: The First Avenger
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
The Tree of Life
Alternates:
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Real Steel
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
X-Men: First Class
[The 10 Finalists for Visual Effects]
Original Score:
The Adventures of Tintin
The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
War Horse
Alternates:
The Help
Jane Eyre
Original Song:
Captain America: The First Avenger
Hugo
The Muppets
The Muppets
Winnie the Pooh
Alternates:
Albert Nobbs
The Help
Animated Feature:
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chico & Rita
Puss in Boots
Rango
Alternates:
Cars 2
Winnie the Pooh
Documentary Feature:
Bill Cunningham New York
Buck
Pina
Project Nim
We Were Here
Alternates:
Hell And Back Again
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Foreign Language Film:
Bullhead (Belgium)
Footnote (Israel)
In Darkness (Poland)
Monsieur Lazhar (Canada)
A Separation (Iran)
Alternates:
Omar Killed Me (Morocco)
Pina (Germany)
Superclasico (Denmark)
Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Taiwan)
[The 9 Finalists for Foreign Language Film]
Films with the Most Nominations Overall …
Hugo = 11
The Artist = 10
The Descendants = 5
The Help = 5
War Horse = 5
Franklin P. Laviola is a filmmaker and freelance writer, based in the New York area. He wrote and directed the award-winning short film “Happy Face,” which has screened at over twenty film festivals. He recently wrote on the 10 Best Films from the 2011 New York Film Festival. Stay tuned for his list of the best and worst movies of 2011.
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